Notthattradedisruptionswerenttakingplaceevenbeforethepandemicstarted,butCOVID-19hasdisruptedthissupplychaininmorewaysthanone.PeoplewererelievedinJanuaryofthisyearwhenthePhase1tradedealbetweentheU.SandChinawasannounced.Littledidanyoneknow,thatablackswaneventwasabouttocreateabiggerproblem.

并不是说在流感大流行之前就没有发生贸易中断，而是COVID-19在多个方面扰乱了供应链。今年1月，美中第一阶段贸易协议宣布后，人们松了一口气。几乎没有人知道，一场黑天鹅事件即将带来更大的问题。

Astheinfectionssloweddownduringthesummermonths,manybelievedthattheglobaleconomyisslowlygoingtogetbackontrack.However,afiercesecondwaveofinfectionshaspushedmanyEuropeancountriesintoanotherroundoflockdown.Andtheinternationaltrademighttakeanotherhit.

随着夏季感染率的下降，许多人相信全球经济将慢慢回到正轨。然而，激烈的第二波感染已经将许多欧洲国家推向了另一轮封锁。国际贸易可能再次受到冲击。

Beforejumpingontotheregionalbreakdownsofthetopexports,herearesomeglobaltrendstolookat:

在对主要出口产品进行区域细分之前，我们先来看看一些全球趋势：

1.Oilisthesinglemost